Pinnacle’s Chief Investment Officer, Rick Vollaro, looks at the mixed market data and says it’s time for investor caution.
If you were hoping to execute a ‘File and Suspend’ collection strategy of your Social Security benefits, you only have a few months remaining. Under this week’s budget legislation, Congress is killing off the various “File and Suspend” and “Restricted Application” strategies to allow spousal and dependent benefits to be paid while still earning delayed retirement credits, with just a 6-month window before the limitations start to take effect.
The File and Suspend strategy was originally passed by Congress as part of the Senior Citizens Freedom to Work Act in 2000 to allow those who had already started Social Security benefits to stop their payments and earn delayed retirement credits. In the process, however, the new voluntary suspension rules unleashed several additional Social Security claiming strategies, including various “claim now, claim more later” tactics that involved File-and-Suspend and Restricted Applications for spousal benefits.Details
The third quarter came in like a lamb and went out like a lion, as the return of volatility hit risk assets hard across the globe. As in previous quarters, emerging market stocks and commodities suffered double digit declines as markets continue to deal with the end of the commodity super-cycle and the mix of structural and cyclical problems reverberating throughout the emerging market complex. But the big news of the quarter was a catch up in developed markets that had previously appeared impervious to the problems that were festering in the developing world.Details
With the arrival of autumn, students are back at school and either preparing for college or already navigating it. While they further their academic careers, their parents wrestle with the current or future cost of higher education and the complexities of the financial aid system.Details
We’ve recently changed our cyclical view, as we don’t think the recent downdraft we’ve been experiencing is over yet. In fact, while many believe we’re experiencing a ‘garden variety pullback’ that provides us with a buying opportunity, we believe there’s a growing probability that the long running cyclical bull market may be transitioning into a cyclical bear market. We could be wrong—and hope that we are. But hope is not a strategy and we need to align with the evidence that calls for playing defense and protecting against a possible change in the market cycle.Details
With markets still reeling from a volatile week, Pinnacle Chief Investment Officer Rick Vollaro surveys the financial evidence and describes how we’re responding in our portfolios.
It is hard to believe that in three trading days, the market has penned its first 10% correction in over 900 trading days. This decline may be an unfortunate reminder of the last bear market, and if you are feeling anxious about your portfolio, don’t worry—you have lots of company. In fact, the market has set a new record for the speed and breadth of market volatility.
Not only has the market dropped, but we have also witnessed several areas of the evidence we follow move into bearish territory. Given this recent downgrade, we now believe the probabilities are high that we are transitioning from a bull market to a bear market cycle.
In the remainder of this post, I’ll summarize our response to the recent market events in each of our three Pinnacle strategies.Details
With a humid mid-Atlantic summer in full swing, many Marylanders are entertaining the idea of purchasing a vacation home. That might be wise — it can be a great place to rejuvenate and spend time with family and friends.
However, a vacation property also comes with its own set of challenges and those considering a purchase should be aware of them. With that in mind, here are six important questions to ask before making the move.Details
The headlines out of Greece are coming fast – deal, no deal, default, referendum, etc. It’s enough to make investors’ heads spin trying to keep up with the news flow. Markets have been volatile this week in reaction to the back and forth, and the rising possibility that Greece may leave the Eurozone. Investors are starting to fear that this could potentially be another “Lehman moment” that results in financial contagion across global markets.Details
In this Pinnacle Market Update, Chief Investment Officer Rick Vollaro looks at the mixed economic evidence and outlines our investment position.