Why Currency Movements Matter

For U.S. investors, foreign currency fluctuations can be a critically important – but much overlooked — factor to consider when investing in international stock or bond fund. If a foreign currency is appreciating relative to the U.S. dollar, it can provide a boost to returns, but if the currency is weakening, it can detract from…

Water Cooler Conversations

The investment team members at Pinnacle are connoisseurs of investment research.  We read a vast variety of analysts and money managers, each having their own opinion about the economic cycle or their particular area of expertise.  We have spent a decade finding those analysts who are clear in presenting their point of view, are well-known…

Dipping a Toe in the Water

Over the past couple of weeks, we have executed several portfolio transactions in line with our belief that the second half of the year may be a good one for stock investors. Most of the trades have been relative in nature; for example, we’ve swapped defensive U.S. sector holdings for late cyclical sectors. We also…

A New Kind of Hedge

We continue to position portfolios at neutral levels of risk, believing that the substantial downside risks (Europe, the looming fiscal cliff, an economic slowdown, etc.) are balanced by the growing possibility that global central banks may soon inject more stimulus that could propel risk markets higher again — similar to what’s happened the past two…

Conflicting Messages

One of the interesting (and frustrating) aspects of the current environment is just how muddled the evidence is right now. While it’s true that there’s always a bullish or bearish case to be made, it’s struck us lately just how far the gulf between the two camps has grown. The independent analysts that we follow,…

Discretionary Stocks Continue to Impress

Since the stock market made its recent high on April 2nd (in the S&P 500), there has been a noticeable shift in sector performance. As they often do during periods of market indigestion, defensive sectors such as Health Care, Consumer Staples, and Utilities have been outperforming. Meanwhile, the cyclical sectors of the market that had…

Earnings Season Gets Underway…

Second quarter earnings season officially kicks off today, as companies report on their performance during the first quarter of 2012. Dow component Alcoa, an aluminum company, reports shortly after the market close. Earnings have been incredibly strong for the past few years coming out of the last recession, and have been one of the main…

The Return of the Euro Crisis

Some volatility has crept back into the markets in the past few days, largely driven by negative news flow out of Spain (the latest country to come under pressure as a result of the European debt crisis). This probably didn’t come as a surprise to most professional investors, but it might have to Europe’s esteemed…