Hangovers & Roadmaps

2016 began with a thud and ended with a bang. After one of the worst-ever starts to a year, U.S. stocks managed to rebound and ultimately finish the year with solid gains. Much of the rise came in the final few weeks of the year, following the surprising results of the U.S. presidential election. Indeed,…

Airplane cargo

Make or Break Time for Transportation Stocks

We’ve been looking at transportation stocks as an intra-industrial sector investment, due to a variety of factors: our forecast for a secular bear market in crude oil, sustainable airline profits, and high domestic exposure as compared to multi-national industrials hurt by a strong dollar. Nevertheless, transportation stocks have had a rough start to the year.…

Evidence of A Slow Down?

The MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) Indicator is one of many tools in a market technician’s toolbox. The indicator takes two moving averages (usually the 12 period and the 26 period exponential moving averages) and converts them into a momentum oscillator by subtracting the longer period from the shorter period. There are a variety of…

oil pipeline

Getting it Right on Oil

Earlier this year, we perceived significant risk inside the oil market: Large speculators had made extreme bullish bets in the futures market, and there was reduced demand from emerging markets. In response, we took half of our energy stock exposure and invested it in Master Limited Partnerships (MLPs). MLPs are natural resource activity companies, mostly…

High-Frequency Trading

What Is High-Frequency Trading?

When it comes to matching buyers and sellers of blue chip stocks on the New York Stock Exchange, the era of the floor trader has passed. You’ll still see traders bustling around in the background whenever you turn on CNBC, but it’s just a sideshow. These days, electronic trading is king. This has helped democratize…

Oil Prices and the Symmetrical Triangle

In the world of technical analysis, the symmetrical triangle represents a battle between bulls and bears. Neither side gains ground while the market forms this pattern, and the result over time is lower highs and higher lows. However, the direction of the next major move can be determined following a valid breakout of the pattern.